Robin Hanson is an American economist at George Mason University who builds markets that turn opinions into prices. He pioneered prediction markets in the late 1980s, invented the logarithmic market scoring rule that underpins many modern betting and crypto markets, and proposed futarchy, a system of governance where we 'vote on values but bet on beliefs.' He is the author of The Age of Em, a detailed forecast of a civilization run by emulated human brains, and co-author of The Elephant in the Brain, which argues most of our behavior is driven by hidden, self-serving motives we'd rather not admit. He blogs at Overcoming Bias and coined the term 'the Great Filter.'
Zvi Mowshowitz is a writer, AI safety analyst, and former professional Magic: The Gathering player. He is best known for his Substack newsletter 'Don't Worry About the Vase,' which publishes detailed weekly AI updates and rationalist commentary to over 33,000 subscribers. Inducted into the Magic: The Gathering Pro Tour Hall of Fame in 2007, Zvi is also the founder of nonprofit policy think tank Balsa Research and co-founded MetaMed, a personalized medical research firm backed by Peter Thiel. He is a prominent voice in the rationalist and AI safety communities, known for his p(doom) estimates of 60-70% and his systematic, data-driven approach to understanding AI risk.