p-doom
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EMAD MOSTAQUE: AI Will RUN Our Countries Soon! We Aren't Ready!
In a wide-ranging interview on the Beyond Tomorrow podcast, Stability AI founder Emad Mostaque argues that within 30-40 years every country will be run by AI, that democracy is in its final decade or two, and that most digital jobs will be economically irrelevant within roughly a thousand days. He puts his personal probability of catastrophe (P-doom) at 50%, warns of intelligence being rationed by a duopoly of powerful labs, and lays out a counter-vision: sovereign, collectively owned 'national champion' AI utilities that give every citizen access to intelligence and a share of the robot fleet. Along the way he explores AI personhood, brain-computer interfaces, longevity escape velocity, quantum computing, and whether we should push a button to eliminate all human suffering.
Zvi Mowshowitz
Zvi Mowshowitz is a writer, AI safety analyst, and former professional Magic: The Gathering player. He is best known for his Substack newsletter 'Don't Worry About the Vase,' which publishes detailed weekly AI updates and rationalist commentary to over 33,000 subscribers. Inducted into the Magic: The Gathering Pro Tour Hall of Fame in 2007, Zvi is also the founder of nonprofit policy think tank Balsa Research and co-founded MetaMed, a personalized medical research firm backed by Peter Thiel. He is a prominent voice in the rationalist and AI safety communities, known for his p(doom) estimates of 60-70% and his systematic, data-driven approach to understanding AI risk.