Research Desk New York · Polling meets product strategy · Work across 50 states and 20+ countries · Apple Music · HBO NOW · Major League Baseball · Advocacy

Company profile / Market research

The Pollsters Who Treat Baseball, Streaming and Ballots as the Same Puzzle

Schoen Cooperman Research carries the habits of an election war room into boardrooms, ballparks and public campaigns. Its product is not the poll. It is the decision that becomes possible once the audience stops being an abstraction.

Imagine three rooms. In the first, a campaign manager wants to know which argument can move a suburban voter. In the second, a streaming executive wants to know why someone will pay for one more subscription. In the third, baseball officials are debating rules, attendance and what fans might tolerate. Most consultancies would assign three vocabularies to these rooms. Schoen Cooperman Research sees one underlying problem: people have choices, their motives are uneven, and intuition becomes expensive the moment a message meets the public.

The New York firm sits at an uncommon junction of political consulting, market research and strategic communications. It runs surveys and focus groups, segments audiences, tests advertising, develops messages and advises on execution. Political campaigns remain the operating metaphor. A campaign has a deadline, a finite budget and an audience that cannot be ordered to care. Research has to arrive quickly enough to change what happens next.

The clever move is not asking what “the public” thinks. It is discovering which public matters, what it needs to hear and whether the message survives a test.

The poll is only the first draft

A conventional research assignment can end with a census of preferences: 42 percent like this, 31 percent dislike that. Schoen Cooperman’s public portfolio describes a more active sequence. Define the audience. Find the fracture lines inside it. Test language and creative. Turn the result into positioning, media or campaign choices. Then revisit the audience after the choice has entered the world.

This sounds orderly. The value appears when the first idea fails. HBO had been built around premium television delivered through a cable bundle. The first thing to weaken was not the programming but the distribution assumption. Cord-cutters wanted access without the old package. According to the firm’s case study, consumer profiling and research on changing viewing habits helped inform the design, content, targeting and communications for HBO NOW. The work continued after launch, with a focus on expanding subscriptions and reducing churn. The firm credits the engagement with helping HBO NOW reach 10 million subscribers over five years.

10M+Apple Music paying subscribers within six months, firm-reported
10MHBO NOW subscribers over five years, firm-reported
20+Countries reached by the firm's work

A launch becomes an election

Apple Music presented a different failure mode: a new service in a market where the public already had habits, playlists and competitors. Awareness alone would not create conversion. Schoen Cooperman says it divided prospective listeners into narrowly defined groups, tested the website and advertising, and refined how the product’s benefits were explained. In the firm’s telling, that work helped Apple Music cross 10 million paying subscribers and more than $100 million in monthly revenue within six months of the engagement.

Those are company-attributed outcomes, not a controlled experiment that isolates one consultant from pricing, product, distribution or the Apple brand. But the underlying decision pattern is useful. The weak assumption was that a large market behaves as one market. Research changed the plan by revealing different paths into the product. The portable lesson is to test the explanation as seriously as the offer. A feature that is obvious inside a launch meeting can remain invisible to the person being asked to switch.

QuestionWho can be persuaded?What action should follow?
StreamingViewers with distinct habits and barriersSubscribe, switch or stay
BaseballFans split by age, family and engagementWatch, attend or return
AdvocacySupporters, opponents and movable votersBelieve, vote or contact a lawmaker
Carly Cooperman, CEO and partner at Schoen Cooperman Research
Carly Cooperman, reading the room before the room knows it is being read. Photo: Schoen Cooperman Research.

Baseball is a coalition, too

The Major League Baseball case is the clearest demonstration of the firm’s range. The disclosed work included quantitative studies and focus groups about viewing and attendance, possible rule changes, postseason formats, the minor leagues, the draft, player development, stadium relocation and investment. It also extended to strategy around the 2021 collective bargaining negotiations.

The connective tissue is coalition management. A league does not have one customer. It has lifelong fans and casual viewers, local attendees and national audiences, families and younger people with a surplus of entertainment options. It also has clubs and players whose interests overlap until they do not. Political research trains the eye to look for precisely these arrangements: the core, the persuadable middle, the objection that can be answered and the disagreement that cannot be wished away.

Margaritaville adds a more playful example. The brand wanted to travel beyond a Jimmy Buffett song and a regional restaurant chain into hotels, gaming, products and other markets. Schoen Cooperman’s case study describes profiling and segmentation used to test where the brand could stretch without snapping its cultural association. The firm says the continuing engagement supported Margaritaville’s development into a multi-billion-dollar lifestyle business. It is an odd but memorable strategy lesson: before extending a brand, locate the feeling customers are actually buying.

Doug Schoen, founder and partner at Schoen Cooperman Research
Doug Schoen helped make overnight polling a political reflex. The overnight part matters: information earns its keep before the decision, not after it. Photo: Schoen Cooperman Research.

From persuasion to public purpose

The same machinery appears in the firm’s advocacy work, where the desired action is a vote, a policy change or a shift in public understanding. Schoen Cooperman identifies Everytown for Gun Safety as a research partner and describes polling, message development and advertising tests across elections and background-check initiatives. It worked with the Campaign for Tobacco-Free Kids on youth vaping, and says its research supported ranked-choice voting in Maine and redistricting reform in four states.

Its work with the Claims Conference has measured Holocaust knowledge and awareness across countries and generations. A separate multi-year partnership with George Washington University’s Graduate School of Political Management has studied public trust in government communications. These assignments reveal a harder edge to audience research. A commercial brand can alter a campaign and try again. A public-health or historical-knowledge campaign may be working against misinformation, identity and distrust. Better wording helps only when the messenger, institution and proposed action retain enough credibility to carry it.

Research is most useful when it can still embarrass the plan. If every result confirms the brief, the exercise has become decoration.

What to borrow - and what it costs

Schoen Cooperman sells custom-priced engagements rather than a self-serve product. The economic bargain is familiar in high-stakes consulting: pay for access to experienced researchers, fieldwork, analysis and strategic judgment because a wrong media buy, launch message or political assumption can cost more than the study.

The method can still be copied at smaller scale. Start with a consequential choice, not a general desire to “understand the audience.” Write down the segments you assume exist. Interview enough people to find the language they use without prompting. Build competing messages from that language. Test behavior or intent, not applause. Decide in advance what result would change your mind. Finally, connect the finding to a person, deadline and budget. Otherwise the deck will be admired, filed and forgotten.

There are conditions where the approach loses force. A tiny sample cannot support elaborate segmentation. Stated preferences do not always predict purchases or votes. Message optimization cannot repair a weak product, an untrusted institution or a policy with real costs that people understand perfectly well. And the faster the cycle, the greater the temptation to mistake a momentary reaction for a durable belief. The research must fit the consequence of the decision.

That caveat is also the company’s most interesting proposition. Schoen Cooperman Research does not inhabit a world where data makes people predictable. It works in the less comfortable world where evidence makes the next choice a little less arbitrary. Baseball fans, streaming customers and voters are not the same. But each can tell you why the first plan was wrong, if you ask before the money is spent.