# Leigh Drogen

> Leigh Drogen founded Estimize in 2011 to crowdsource earnings and revenue forecasts from a broader community than traditional sell-side analysts. He stepped away from daily management and into an advisory role when Estimize combined with ExtractAlpha in 2021. He is now general partner and chief investment officer at Starkiller Capital, which applies quantitative strategies to digital assets, and is based in Whitefish, Montana.

- **Role:** General Partner and Chief Investment Officer at Starkiller Capital; founder and advisor at Estimize
- **Organizations:** Estimize, Starkiller Capital, Surfview Capital, Stocktwits, Geller Capital
- **Education:** B.A., Political Science and Economics, Hunter College, University of San Diego, Horace Greeley High School
- **Known for:** Founded Estimize, a crowdsourced financial-estimates platform., Forbes 30 Under 30, finance, 2014., Facilitated academic research into forecasting and herding, followed by Estimize’s adoption of blind forecasting in 2015.

## Career timeline

- **Early career** — Quantitative trader at Geller Capital, mentored by David Geller; later founded Surfview Capital.
- **2007** — First conceived the idea for Estimize, according to his 2013 interview.
- **2009-2011** — Worked in product and business development at Stocktwits.
- **2011** — Started Estimize in May and launched its first platform iteration in November.
- **2014** — Named to Forbes 30 Under 30 in finance.
- **2015** — Estimize adopted blind forecasting after research on herding; Euromoney acquired a 10 percent stake for $3.6 million.
- **2021** — Announced the Estimize-ExtractAlpha combination on May 10 and transition into an advisory role; became GP and CIO at Starkiller Capital.

## Achievements

- Founded Estimize, a crowdsourced financial-estimates platform.
- Forbes 30 Under 30, finance, 2014.
- Facilitated academic research into forecasting and herding, followed by Estimize’s adoption of blind forecasting in 2015.
- Reported over 100,000 Estimize contributors in his May 2021 merger announcement.
- Hunter College 40 Under 40 honoree, 2023.

## Latest updates

- **2026-08** — Published The Cycle Turns on August 20, outlining Starkiller’s changing market view and explicitly distinguishing conviction from certainty.
- **2026-05** — Discussed digital-asset trend and momentum and DeFi market-neutral yield with Ethan Kho on Odds on Open.
- **2025-12** — Starkiller published Why Smart Money on Polymarket Buys What No One Wants, about behavioral incentives and near-resolution pricing.
- **2025-09** — Coauthored The Rails Are Free, The Trains Make Money with Dennis Qian.

## Links

- Website: https://www.leighdrogen.com/
- LinkedIn: https://www.linkedin.com/in/leighdrogen
- Twitter/X: https://x.com/LDrogen
- Bluesky: https://bsky.app/profile/drogen.bsky.social
- Facebook: https://www.facebook.com/leigh.drogen

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Profile page: https://yespress.io/leigh-drogen
Published by YesPress — https://yespress.io
Last updated: 2026-10-11